Wheat Outlook

  • September 18, 2026 – Moisture prospects starting to improve for the northern half of the Southern Plains region. The government of Turkey is working on an agreement to open shipping lanes in the Black Sea for Ukraine and Russia.
  • September 11, 2026 – USDA left U.S. wheat supply and demand unchanged in September but raised the season-average farm price 20¢ to $6.40. Also this week: world wheat supplies, Southern Plains drought, El Niño and 2027 marketing strategies.
  • September 4, 2026 – U.S. spring wheat harvest is 77% complete, ahead of a 68% normal pace. The global crop monitor, GEOGLAM, shows areas of production concerns in Europe with harvest wrapping up and favorable conditions in-season in the Southern Hemisphere.
  • August 28, 2026 – Grain flows from the Black Sea region continue to be impacted by attacks on shipping on the part of both Ukraine and Russia. ‘Extreme’ and ‘exceptional’ drought conditions persist and worsened this week in western Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle.

 

Mark Welch
Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Economist

600 John Kimbrough Blvd
TAMU 2124
College Station, Texas 77843
Tel. (979)845-8011
Fax. (979)845-4906
JMWelch(at)tamu.edu

The opinions and recommendations expressed are solely those of the author and are intended for educational purposes only as part of the Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service.  Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service assumes no liability for the use of this newsletter.  Educational programs of the Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service are open to all people without regard to race, color, sex, disability, religion, age, or national origin.  The Texas A&M University System, U.S. Department of Agriculture, and the County Commissioners Courts of Texas Cooperating

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