Wheat Outlook

  • May 12, 2021 – Small changes are expected for U.S. wheat in the new marketing year. Production is up 46 million bushels on a small increase in harvested area. Total use up 7 million bushels as lower exports offset an increase is feed use. Ending stocks are down with lower beginning stocks.
  • April 30, 2021 – Winter wheat crop conditions ratings were lower this week with a decline in the share of crop rated good and excellent. Drought conditions increased with expanded abnormally dry conditions in southwest Kansas and western Oklahoma. Exceptional drought expanded in South Texas.
  • April 23, 2021 – The winter wheat condition ratings in the weekly Crop Progress report were unchanged this week. The area of the Southern Plains that is drought free increased 2 percent according to this week’s Drought Monitor. Wheat exports are back on pace to reach the marketing year target.
  • April 16, 2021 – Condition ratings of U.S. wheat held about steady this week. The Texas wheat crop condition index slipped as the percent rated very poor and poor was up and good and excellent down. Moisture prospects for winter wheat production areas in drought are slight again this week.


Mark Welch
Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Economist

600 John Kimbrough Blvd
TAMU 2124
College Station, Texas 77843
Tel. (979)845-8011
Fax. (979)845-4906

The opinions and recommendations expressed are solely those of the author and are intended for educational purposes only as part of the Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service.  Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service assumes no liability for the use of this newsletter.  Educational programs of the Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service are open to all people without regard to race, color, sex, disability, religion, age, or national origin.  The Texas A&M University System, U.S. Department of Agriculture, and the County Commissioners Courts of Texas Cooperating

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